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Archives for April 2012

Predicting Elections

By Oliver DeMille There are various methods and matrices for predicting elections, none of them infallible. But one does come pretty close. When an incumbent president is running for reelection, the growth rate of discretionary income citizens have during the first two quarters of the election year always accurately predicts the … [Read more...]

The Summer of 2012

What to Expect as the Year Heats Up By Oliver DeMille The temperatures are rising for summer, not just literally but also in politics, economics and culture. There are several important trends that are sure to influence the months ahead, and indeed the summer of 2012 promises to be both historic and memorable. Each of us should consider … [Read more...]

Right vs. Cool

The Upcoming Elections By Oliver DeMille Weeks ago I wrote an article about two kinds of voters in modern America, the traditionalists (who vote mostly based on issues) and the literalists (who vote pragmatically). The response has been both widespread and interesting. The feedback made it clear that a lot of independent voters understood and … [Read more...]